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Determining Strengths For Public Keys Used For Exchanging Symmetric Keys. H. Orman, P. Hoffman. April 2004.

Network Working Group H. Orman
Request for Comments: 3766 Purple Streak Dev.
BCP: 86 P. Hoffman
Category: Best Current Practice VPN Consortium
April 2004
Determining Strengths For Public Keys Used
For Exchanging Symmetric Keys
Status of this Memo
This document specifies an Internet Best Current Practices for the
Internet Community, and requests discussion and suggestions for
improvements. Distribution of this memo is unlimited.
Copyright Notice
Copyright (C) The Internet Society (2004). All Rights Reserved.
Abstract
Implementors of systems that use public key cryptography to exchange
symmetric keys need to make the public keys resistant to some
predetermined level of attack. That level of attack resistance is
the strength of the system, and the symmetric keys that are exchanged
must be at least as strong as the system strength requirements. The
three quantities, system strength, symmetric key strength, and public
key strength, must be consistently matched for any network protocol
usage.
While it is fairly easy to express the system strength requirements
in terms of a symmetric key length and to choose a cipher that has a
key length equal to or exceeding that requirement, it is harder to
choose a public key that has a cryptographic strength meeting a
symmetric key strength requirement. This document explains how to
determine the length of an asymmetric key as a function of a
symmetric key strength requirement. Some rules of thumb for
estimating equivalent resistance to largescale attacks on various
algorithms are given. The document also addresses how changing the
sizes of the underlying large integers (moduli, group sizes,
exponents, and so on) changes the time to use the algorithms for key
exchange.
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Table of Contents
1. Model of Protecting Symmetric Keys with Public Keys. . . . . . 2
1.1. The key exchange algorithms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
2. Determining the Effort to Factor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
2.1. Choosing parameters for the equation. . . . . . . . . . . 6
2.2. Choosing k from empirical reports . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2.3. Pollard's rho method. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2.4. Limits of large memory and many machines. . . . . . . . . 8
2.5. Special purpose machines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
3. Compute Time for the Algorithms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
3.1. DiffieHellman Key Exchange . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
3.1.1. DiffieHellman with elliptic curve groups. . . . . 11
3.2. RSA encryption and decryption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
3.3. Realworld examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
4. Equivalences of Key Sizes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.1. Key equivalence against special purpose brute force
hardware. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
4.2. Key equivalence against conventional CPU brute force
attack. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
4.3. A One Year Attack: 80 bits of strength. . . . . . . . . . 16
4.4. Key equivalence for other ciphers . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
4.5. Hash functions for deriving symmetric keys from public
key algorithms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
4.6. Importance of randomness. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
5. Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
5.1. TWIRL Correction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
6. Security Considerations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
7. References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
7.1. Informational References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
8. Authors' Addresses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
9. Full Copyright Statement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
1. Model of Protecting Symmetric Keys with Public Keys
Many books on cryptography and security explain the need to exchange
symmetric keys in public as well as the many algorithms that are used
for this purpose. However, few of these discussions explain how the
strengths of the public keys and the symmetric keys are related.
To understand this, picture a house with a strong lock on the front
door. Next to the front door is a small lockbox that contains the
key to the front door. A wouldbe burglar who wants to break into
the house through the front door has two options: attack the lock on
the front door, or attack the lock on the lockbox in order to
retrieve the key. Clearly, the burglar is better off attacking the
weaker of the two locks. The homeowner in this situation must make
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sure that adding the second entry option (the lockbox containing the
front door key) is at least as strong as the lock on the front door,
in order not to make the burglar's job easier.
An implementor designing a system for exchanging symmetric keys using
public key cryptography must make a similar decision. Assume that an
attacker wants to learn the contents of a message that is encrypted
with a symmetric key, and that the symmetric key was exchanged
between the sender and recipient using public key cryptography. The
attacker has two options to recover the message: a bruteforce
attempt to determine the symmetric key by repeated guessing, or
mathematical determination of the private key used as the key
exchange key. A smart attacker will work on the easier of these two
problems.
A simpleminded answer to the implementor's problem is to be sure
that the key exchange system is always significantly stronger than
the symmetric key; this can be done by choosing a very long public
key. Such a design is usually not a good idea because the key
exchanges become much more expensive in terms of processing time as
the length of the public keys go up. Thus, the implementor is faced
with the task of trying to match the difficulty of an attack on the
symmetric key with the difficulty of an attack on the public key
encryption. This analysis is not necessary if the key exchange can
be performed with extreme security for almost no cost in terms of
elapsed time or CPU effort; unfortunately, this is not the case for
public key methods today.
A third consideration is the minimum security requirement of the
user. Assume the user is encrypting with CAST128 and requires a
symmetric key with a resistance time against bruteforce attack of 20
years. He might start off by choosing a key with 86 random bits, and
then use a oneway function such as SHA1 to "boost" that to a block
of 160 bits, and then take 128 of those bits as the key for CAST128.
In such a case, the key exchange algorithm need only match the
difficulty of 86 bits, not 128 bits.
The selection procedure is:
1. Determine the attack resistance necessary to satisfy the security
requirements of the application. Do this by estimating the
minimum number of computer operations that the attacker will be
forced to do in order to compromise the security of the system and
then take the logarithm base two of that number. Call that
logarithm value "n".
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A 1996 report recommended 90 bits as a good allaround choice for
system security. The 90 bit number should be increased by about
2/3 bit/year, or about 96 bits in 2005.
2. Choose a symmetric cipher that has a key with at least n bits and
at least that much cryptanalytic strength.
3. Choose a key exchange algorithm with a resistance to attack of at
least n bits.
A fourth consideration might be the public key authentication method
used to establish the identity of a user. This might be an RSA
digital signature or a DSA digital signature. If the modulus for the
authentication method isn't large enough, then the entire basis for
trusting the communication might fall apart. The following step is
thus added:
4. Choose an authentication algorithm with a resistance to attack of
at least n bits. This ensures that a similar key exchanged cannot
be forged between the two parties during the secrecy lifetime of
the encrypted material. This may not be strictly necessary if the
authentication keys are changed frequently and they have a well
understood usage lifetime, but in lieu of this, the n bit guidance
is sound.
1.1. The key exchange algorithms
The DiffieHellman method uses a group, a generator, and exponents.
In today's Internet standards, the group operation is based on
modular multiplication. Here, the group is defined by the
multiplicative group of an integer, typically a prime p = 2q + 1,
where q is a prime, and the arithmetic is done modulo p; the
generator (which is often simply 2) is denoted by g.
In DiffieHellman, Alice and Bob first agree (in public or in
private) on the values for g and p. Alice chooses a secret large
random integer (a), and Bob chooses a secret random large integer
(b). Alice sends Bob A, which is g^a mod p; Bob sends Alice B, which
is g^b mod p. Next, Alice computes B^a mod p, and Bob computes A^b
mod p. These two numbers are equal, and the participants use a
simple function of this number as the symmetric key k.
Note that DiffieHellman key exchange can be done over different
kinds of group representations. For instance, elliptic curves
defined over finite fields are a particularly efficient way to
compute the key exchange [SCH95].
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For RSA key exchange, assume that Bob has a public key (m) which is
equal to p*q, where p and q are two secret prime numbers, and an
encryption exponent e, and a decryption exponent d. For the key
exchange, Alice sends Bob E = k^e mod m, where k is the secret
symmetric key being exchanged. Bob recovers k by computing E^d mod
m, and the two parties use k as their symmetric key. While Bob's
encryption exponent e can be quite small (e.g., 17 bits), his
decryption exponent d will have as many bits in it as m does.
2. Determining the Effort to Factor
The RSA public key encryption method is immune to brute force
guessing attacks because the modulus (and thus, the secret exponent
d) will have at least 512 bits, and that is too many possibilities to
guess. The DiffieHellman exchange is also secure against guessing
because the exponents will have at least twice as many bits as the
symmetric keys that will be derived from them. However, both methods
are susceptible to mathematical attacks that determine the structure
of the public keys.
Factoring an RSA modulus will result in complete compromise of the
security of the private key. Solving the discrete logarithm problem
for a DiffieHellman modular exponentiation system will similarly
destroy the security of all key exchanges using the particular
modulus. This document assumes that the difficulty of solving the
discrete logarithm problem is equivalent to the difficulty of
factoring numbers that are the same size as the modulus. In fact, it
is slightly harder because it requires more operations; based on
empirical evidence so far, the ratio of difficulty is at least 20,
possibly as high as 64. Solving either problem requires a great deal
of memory for the last stage of the algorithm, the matrix reduction
step. Whether or not this memory requirement will continue to be the
limiting factor in solving larger integer problems remains to be
seen. At the current time it is not, and there is active research
into parallel matrix algorithms that might mitigate the memory
requirements for this problem.
The number field sieve (NFS) [GOR93] [LEN93] is the best method today
for solving the discrete logarithm problem. The formula for
estimating the number of simple arithmetic operations needed to
factor an integer, n, using the NFS method is:
L(n) = k * e^((1.92 + o(1)) * cubrt(ln(n) * (ln(ln(n)))^2))
Many people prefer to discuss the number of MIPS years (MYs) that are
needed for large operations such as the number field sieve. For such
an estimation, an operation in the L(n) formula is one computer
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instruction. Empirical evidence indicates that 4 or 5 instructions
might be a closer match, but this is a minor factor and this document
sticks with one operation/one instruction for this discussion.
2.1. Choosing parameters for the equation
The expression above has two parameters that can be estimated by
empirical means: k and o(1). For the range of numbers we are
interested in, there is little distinction between them.
One could assume that k is 1 and o(1) is 0. This is reasonably valid
if the expression is only used for estimating relative effort
(instead of actual effort) and one assumes that the o(1) term is very
small over the range of the numbers that are to be factored.
Or, one could assume that o(1) is small and roughly constant and thus
its value can be folded into k; then estimate k from reported amounts
of effort spent factoring large integers in tests.
This document uses the second approach in order to get an estimate of
the significance of the factor. It appears to be minor, based on the
following calculations.
Sample values from recent work with the number field sieve include:
Test name Number of Number of MYs of effort
decimal bits
digits
RSA130 130 430 500
RSA140 140 460 2000
RSA155 155 512 8000
RSA160 160 528 3000
There are few precise measurements of the amount of time used for
these factorizations. In most factorization tests, hundreds or
thousands of computers are used over a period of several months, but
the number of their cycles were used for the factoring project, the
precise distribution of processor types, speeds, and so on are not
usually reported. However, in all the above cases, the amount of
effort used was far less than the L(n) formula would predict if k was
1 and o(1) was 0.
A similar estimate of effort, done in 1995, is in [ODL95].
Results indicating that for the Number Field Sieve factoring method,
the actual number of operations is less than expected, are found in
[DL].
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2.2. Choosing k from empirical reports
By solving for k from the empirical reports, it appears that k is
approximately 0.02. This means that the "effective key strength" of
the RSA algorithm is about 5 or 6 bits less than is implied by the
naive application of equation L(n) (that is, setting k to 1 and o(1)
to 0). These estimates of k are fairly stable over the numbers
reported in the table. The estimate is limited to a single
significant digit of k because it expresses real uncertainties;
however, the effect of additional digits would have make only tiny
changes to the recommended key sizes.
The factorers of RSA130 used about 1700 MYs, but they felt that this
was unrealistically high for prediction purposes; by using more
memory on their machines, they could have easily reduced the time to
500 MYs. Thus, the value used in preparing the table above was 500.
This story does, however, underscore the difficulty in getting an
accurate measure of effort. This document takes the reported effort
for factoring RSA155 as being the most accurate measure.
As a result of examining the empirical data, it appears that the L(n)
formula can be used with the o(1) term set to 0 and with k set to
0.02 when talking about factoring numbers in the range of 100 to 200
decimal digits. The equation becomes:
L(n) = 0.02 * e^(1.92 * cubrt(ln(n) * (ln(ln(n)))^2))
To convert L(n) from simple math instructions to MYs, divide by
3*10^13. The equation for the number of MYs needed to factor an
integer n then reduces to:
MYs = 6 * 10^(16) * e^(1.92 * cubrt(ln(n) * (ln(ln(n)))^2))
With what confidence can this formula be used for predicting the
difficulty of factoring slightly larger numbers? The answer is that
it should be a close upper bound, but each factorization effort is
usually marked by some improvement in the algorithms or their
implementations that makes the running time somewhat shorter than the
formula would indicate.
2.3. Pollard's rho method
In DiffieHellman exchanges, there is a second attack, Pollard's rho
method [POL78]. The algorithm relies on finding collisions between
values computed in a large number space; its success rate is
proportional to the square root of the size of the space. Because of
Pollard's rho method, the search space in a DH key exchange for the
key (the exponent in a g^a term), must be twice as large as the
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symmetric key. Therefore, to securely derive a key of K bits, an
implementation must use an exponent with at least 2*K bits. See
[ODL99] for more detail.
When the DiffieHellman key exchange is done using an elliptic curve
method, the NFS methods are of no avail. However, the collision
method is still effective, and the need for an exponent (called a
multiplier in EC's) with 2*K bits remains. The modulus used for the
computation can also be 2*K bits, and this will be substantially
smaller than the modulus needed for modular exponentiation methods as
the desired security level increases past 64 bits of bruteforce
attack resistance.
One might ask, how can you compare the number of computer
instructions really needed for a discrete logarithm attack to the
number needed to search the keyspace of a cipher? In comparing the
efforts, one should consider what a "basic operation" is. For brute
force search of the keyspace of a symmetric encryption algorithm like
DES, the basic operation is the time to do a key setup and the time
to do one encryption. For discrete logs, the basic operation is a
modular squaring. The log of the ratio of these two operations can
be used as a "normalizing factor" between the two kinds of
computations. However, even for very large moduli (16K bits), this
factor amounts to only a few bits of extra effort.
2.4. Limits of large memory and many machines
Robert Silverman has examined the question of when it will be
practical to factor RSA moduli larger than 512 bits. His analysis is
based not only on the theoretical number of operations, but it also
includes expectations about the availability of actual machines for
performing the work (this document is based only on theoretical
number of operations). He examines the question of whether or not we
can expect there be enough machines, memory, and communication to
factor a very large number.
The best factoring methods need a lot of random access memory for
collecting data relations (sieving) and a critical final step that
does a row reduction on a large matrix. The memory requirements are
related to the size of the number being factored (or subjected to
discrete logarithm solution). Silverman [SILIEEE99] [SIL00] has
argued that there is a practical limit to the number of machines and
the amount of RAM that can be brought to bear on a single problem in
the foreseeable future. He sees two problems in attacking a 1024bit
RSA modulus: the machines doing the sieving will need 64bit address
spaces and the matrix row reduction machine will need several
terabytes of memory. Silverman notes that very few 64bit machines
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that have the 170 gigabytes of memory needed for sieving have been
sold. Nearly a billion such machines are necessary for the sieving
in a reasonable amount of time (a year or two).
Silverman's conclusion, based on the history of factoring efforts and
Moore's Law, is that 1024bit RSA moduli will not be factored until
about 2037. This implies a much longer lifetime to RSA keys than the
theoretical analysis indicates. He argues that predictions about how
many machines and memory modules will be available can be with great
confidence, based on Moore's Law extrapolations and the recent
history of factoring efforts.
One should give the practical considerations a great deal of weight,
but in a risk analysis, the physical world is less predictable than
trend graphs would indicate. In considering how much trust to put
into the inability of the computer industry to satisfy the voracious
needs of factorers, one must have some insight into economic
considerations that are more complicated than the mathematics of
factoring. The demand for computer memory is hard to predict because
it is based on applications: a "killer app" might come along any day
and send the memory industry into a frenzy of sales. The number of
processors available on desktops may be limited by the number of
desks, but very capable embedded systems account for more processor
sales than desktops. As embedded systems absorb networking
functions, it is not unimaginable that millions of 64bit processors
with at least gigabytes of memory will pervade our environment.
The bottom line on this is that the key length recommendations
predicted by theory may be overly conservative, but they are what we
have used for this document. This question of machine availability
is one that should be reconsidered in light of current technology on
a regular basis.
2.5. Special purpose machines
In August of 2003, a design for a specialpurpose "sieving machine"
(TWIRL) surfaced [Shamir2003], and it substantially changed the cost
estimates for factoring numbers up to 1024 bits in size. By applying
many highspeed VLSI components in parallel, such a machine might be
able to carry out the sieving of 512bit numbers in 10 minutes at a
cost of $10K for the hardware. A larger version could sieve a 1024
bit number in one year for a cost of $10M. The work cites some
advances in approaches to the row reduction step in concluding that
the security of 1024bit RSA moduli is doubtful.
The estimates for the time and cost for factoring 512bit and 1024
bit numbers correspond to a speedup factor of about 2 million over
what can be achieved with commodity processors of a few years ago.
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3. Compute Time for the Algorithms
This section describes how long it takes to use the algorithms to
perform key exchanges. Again, it is important to consider the
increased time it takes to exchange symmetric keys when increasing
the length of public keys. It is important to avoid choosing
unfeasibly long public keys.
3.1. DiffieHellman Key Exchange
A DiffieHellman key exchange is done with a finite cyclic group G
with a generator g and an exponent x. As noted in the Pollard's rho
method section, the exponent has twice as many bits as are needed for
the final key. Let the size of the group G be p, let the number of
bits in the base 2 representation of p be j, and let the number of
bits in the exponent be K.
In doing the operations that result in a shared key, a generator is
raised to a power. The most efficient way to do this involves
squaring a number K times and multiplying it several times along the
way. Each of the numbers has j/w computer words in it, where w is
the number of bits in a computer word (today that will be 32 or 64
bits). A naive assumption is that you will need to do j squarings
and j/2 multiplies; fortunately, an efficient implementation will
need fewer (NB: for the remainder of this section, n represents j/w).
A squaring operation does not need to use quite as many operations as
a multiplication; a reasonable estimate is that squaring takes .6 the
number of machine instructions of a multiply. If one prepares a
table ahead of time with several values of small integer powers of
the generator g, then only about one fifth as many multiplies are
needed as the naive formula suggests. Therefore, one needs to do the
work of approximately .8*K multiplies of nbyn word numbers.
Further, each multiply and squaring must be followed by a modular
reduction, and a good assumption is that it is as hard to do a
modular reduction as it is to do an nbyn word multiply. Thus, it
takes K reductions for the squarings and .2*K reductions for the
multiplies. Summing this, the total effort for a DiffieHellman key
exchange with K bit exponents and a modulus of n words is
approximately 2*K nbynword multiplies.
For 32bit processors, integers that use less than about 30 computer
words in their representation require at least n^2 instructions for
an nbynword multiply. Larger numbers will use less time, using
Karatsuba multiplications, and they will scale as about n^(1.58) for
larger n, but that is ignored for the current discussion. Note that
64bit processors push the "Karatsuba crossover" number out to even
more bits.
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The basic result is: if you double the size of the DiffieHellman
modular exponentiation group, you quadruple the number of operations
needed for the computation.
3.1.1. DiffieHellman with elliptic curve groups
Note that the ratios for computation effort as a function of modulus
size hold even if you are using an elliptic curve (EC) group for
DiffieHellman. However, for equivalent security, one can use
smaller numbers in the case of elliptic curves. Assume that someone
has chosen an modular exponentiation group with an 2048 bit modulus
as being an appropriate security measure for a DiffieHellman
application and wants to determine what advantage there would be to
using an EC group instead. The calculation is relatively
straightforward, if you assume that on the average, it is about 20
times more effort to do a squaring or multiplication in an EC group
than in a modular exponentiation group. A rough estimate is that an
EC group with equivalent security has about 200 bits in its
representation. Then, assuming that the time is dominated by nbyn
word operations, the relative time is computed as:
((2048/200)^2)/20 ~= 5
showing that an elliptic curve implementation should be five times as
fast as a modular exponentiation implementation.
3.2. RSA encryption and decryption
Assume that an RSA public key uses a modulus with j bits; its factors
are two numbers of about j/2 bits each. The expected computation
time for encryption and decryption are different. As before, we
denote the number of words in the machine representation of the
modulus by the symbol n.
Most implementations of RSA use a small exponent for encryption. An
encryption may involve as few as 16 squarings and one multiplication,
using nbynword operations. Each operation must be followed by a
modular reduction, and therefore the time complexity is about 16*(.6
+ 1) + 1 + 1 ~= 28 nbynword multiplies.
RSA decryption must use an exponent that has as many bits as the
modulus, j. However, the Chinese Remainder Theorem applies, and all
the computations can be done with a modulus of only n/2 words and an
exponent of only j/2 bits. The computation must be done twice, once
for each factor. The effort is equivalent to 2*(j/2) (n/2 by n/2)
word multiplies. Because multiplying numbers with n/2 words is only
1/4 as difficult as multiplying numbers with n words, the equivalent
effort for RSA decryption is j/4 nbynword multiplies.
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If you double the size of the modulus for RSA, the nbyn multiplies
will take four times as long. Further, the decryption time doubles
because the exponent is larger. The overall scaling cost is a factor
of 4 for encryption, a factor of 8 for decryption.
3.3. Realworld examples
To make these numbers more real, here are a few examples of software
implementations run on hardware that was current as of a few years
before the publication of this document. The examples are included
to show rough estimates of reasonable implementations; they are not
benchmarks. As with all software, the performance will depend on the
exact details of specialization of the code to the problem and the
specific hardware.
The best time informally reported for a 1024bit modular
exponentiation (the decryption side of 2048bit RSA), is 0.9 ms
(about 450,000 CPU cycles) on a 500 MHz Itanium processor. This
shows that newer processors are not losing ground on big number
operations; the number of instructions is less than a 32bit
processor uses for a 256bit modular exponentiation.
For less advanced processors timing, the following two tables
(computed by Tero Monenen at SSH Communications) for modular
exponentiation, such as would be done in a DiffieHellman key
exchange.
Celeron 400 MHz; compiled with GNU C compiler, optimized, some
platform specific coding optimizations:
group modulus exponent time
type size size
mod 768 ~150 18 msec
mod 1024 ~160 32 msec
mod 1536 ~180 82 msec
ecn 155 ~150 35 msec
ecn 185 ~200 56 msec
The group type is from [RFC2409] and is either modular exponentiation
("mod") or elliptic curve ("ecn"). All sizes here and in subsequent
tables are in bits.
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Alpha 500 MHz compiled with Digital's C compiler, optimized, no
platform specific code:
group modulus exponent time
type size size
mod 768 ~150 12 msec
mod 1024 ~160 24 msec
mod 1536 ~180 59 msec
ecn 155 ~150 20 msec
ecn 185 ~200 27 msec
The following two tables (computed by Eric Young) were originally for
RSA signing operations, using the Chinese Remainder representation.
For ease of understanding, the parameters are presented here to show
the interior calculations, i.e., the size of the modulus and exponent
used by the software.
Dual Pentium II350:
equiv equiv equiv
modulus exponent time
size size
256 256 1.5 ms
512 512 8.6 ms
1024 1024 55.4 ms
2048 2048 387 ms
Alpha 264 600mhz:
equiv equiv equiv
modulus exponent time
size size
512 512 1.4 ms
Recent chips that accelerate exponentiation can perform 1024bit
exponentiations (1024 bit modulus, 1024 bit exponent) in about 3
milliseconds or less.
4. Equivalences of Key Sizes
In order to determine how strong a public key is needed to protect a
particular symmetric key, you first need to determine how much effort
is needed to break the symmetric key. Many Internet security
protocols require the use of TripleDES for strong symmetric
encryption, and it is expected that the Advanced Encryption Standard
(AES) will be adopted on the Internet in the coming years.
Therefore, these two algorithms are discussed here. In this section,
for illustrative purposes, we will implicitly assume that the system
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security requirement is 112 bits; this doesn't mean that 112 bits is
recommended. In fact, 112 bits is arguably too strong for any
practical purpose. It is used for illustration simply because that
is the upper bound on the strength of TripleDES.
If one could simply determine the number of MYs it takes to break
TripleDES, the task of computing the public key size of equivalent
strength would be easy. Unfortunately, that isn't the case here
because there are many examples of DESspecific hardware that encrypt
faster than DES in software on a standard CPU. Instead, one must
determine the equivalent cost for a system to break TripleDES and a
system to break the public key protecting a TripleDES key.
In 1998, the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) built a DES
cracking machine [GIL98] for US$130,000 that could test about 1e11
DES keys per second (additional money was spent on the machine's
design). The machine's builders fully admit that the machine is not
well optimized, and it is estimated that ten times the amount of
money could probably create a machine about 50 times as fast.
Assuming more optimization by guessing that a system to test
TripleDES keys runs about as fast as a system to test DES keys, so
approximately US$1 million might test 5e12 TripleDES keys per second.
In case your adversaries are much richer than EFF, you may want to
assume that they have US$1 trillion, enough to test 5e18 keys per
second. An exhaustive search of the effective TripleDES space of
2^112 keys with this quite expensive system would take about 1e15
seconds or about 33 million years. (Note that such a system would
also need 2^60 bytes of RAM [MH81], which is considered free in this
calculation). This seems a needlessly conservative value. However,
if computer logic speeds continue to increase in accordance with
Moore's Law (doubling in speed every 1.5 years), then one might
expect that in about 50 years, the computation could be completed in
only one year. For the purposes of illustration, this 50 year
resistance against a trillionaire is assumed to be the minimum
security requirement for a set of applications.
If 112 bits of attack resistance is the system security requirement,
then the key exchange system for TripleDES should have equivalent
difficulty; that is to say, if the attacker has US$1 trillion, you
want him to spend all his money to buy hardware today and to know
that he will "crack" the key exchange in not less than 33 million
years. (Obviously, a rational attacker would wait for about 45 years
before actually spending the money, because he could then get much
better hardware, but all attackers benefit from this sort of wait
equally.)
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It is estimated that a typical PC CPU of just a few years ago can
generate over 500 MIPs and could be purchased for about US$100 in
quantity; thus you get more than 5 MIPs/US$. Again, this number
doubles about every 18 months. For one trillion US dollars, an
attacker can get 5e12 MIP years of computer instructions on that
recentvintage hardware. This figure is used in the following
estimates of equivalent costs for breaking key exchange systems.
4.1. Key equivalence against special purpose brute force hardware
If the trillionaire attacker is to use conventional CPU's to "crack"
a key exchange for a 112 bit key in the same time that the special
purpose machine is spending on brute force search for the symmetric
key, the key exchange system must use an appropriately large modulus.
Assume that the trillionaire performs 5e12 MIPs of instructions per
year. Use the following equation to estimate the modulus size to use
with RSA encryption or DH key exchange:
5*10^33 = (6*10^16)*e^(1.92*cubrt(ln(n)*(ln(ln(n)))^2))
Solving this approximately for n yields:
n = 10^(625) = 2^(2077)
Thus, assuming similar logic speeds and the current efficiency of the
number field sieve, moduli with about 2100 bits will have about the
same resistance against attack as an 112bit TripleDES key. This
indicates that RSA public key encryption should use a modulus with
around 2100 bits; for a DiffieHellman key exchange, one could use a
slightly smaller modulus, but it is not a significant difference.
4.2 Key equivalence against conventional CPU brute force attack
An alternative way of estimating this assumes that the attacker has a
less challenging requirement: he must only "crack" the key exchange
in less time than a brute force key search against the symmetric key
would take with general purpose computers. This is an "applesto
apples" comparison, because it assumes that the attacker needs only
to have computation donated to his effort, not built from a personal
or national fortune. The public key modulus will be larger than the
one in 4.1, because the symmetric key is going to be viable for a
longer period of time.
Assume that the number of CPU instructions to encrypt a block of
material using TripleDES is 300. The estimated number of computer
instructions to break 112 bit TripleDES key:
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300 * 2^112
= 1.6 * 10^(36)
= .02*e^(1.92*cubrt(ln(n)*(ln(ln(n)))^2))
Solving this approximately for n yields:
n = 10^(734) = 2^(2439)
Thus, for general purpose CPU attacks, you can assume that moduli
with about 2400 bits will have about the same strength against attack
as an 112bit TripleDES key. This indicates that RSA public key
encryption should use a modulus with around 2400 bits; for a Diffie
Hellman key exchange, one could use a slightly smaller modulus, but
it not a significant difference.
Note that some authors assume that the algorithms underlying the
number field sieve will continue to get better over time. These
authors recommend an even larger modulus, over 4000 bits, for
protecting a 112bit symmetric key for 50 years. This points out the
difficulty of longterm cryptographic security: it is all but
impossible to predict progress in mathematics and physics over such a
long period of time.
4.3. A One Year Attack: 80 bits of strength
Assuming a trillionaire spends his money today to buy hardware, what
size key exchange numbers could he "crack" in one year? He can
perform 5*e12 MYs of instructions, or
3*10^13 * 5*10^12 = .02*e^(1.92*cubrt(ln(n)*(ln(ln(n)))^2))
Solving for an approximation of n yields
n = 10^(360) = 2^(1195)
This is about as many operations as it would take to crack an 80bit
symmetric key by brute force.
Thus, for protecting data that has a secrecy requirement of one year
against an incredibly rich attacker, a key exchange modulus with
about 1200 bits protecting an 80bit symmetric key is safe even
against a nation's resources.
4.4. Key equivalence for other ciphers
Extending this logic to the AES is straightforward. For purposes of
estimation for key searching, one can think of the 128bit AES as
being at least 16 bits stronger than TripleDES but about three times
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as fast. The time and cost for a brute force attack is approximately
2^(16) more than for TripleDES, and thus, under the assumption that
128 bits of strength is the desired security goal, the recommended
key exchange modulus size is about 700 bits longer.
If it is possible to design hardware for AES cracking that is
considerably more efficient than hardware for DES cracking, then
(again under the assumption that the key exchange strength must match
the brute force effort) the moduli for protecting the key exchange
can be made smaller. However, the existence of such designs is only
a matter of speculation at this early moment in the AES lifetime.
The AES ciphers have key sizes of 128 bits up to 256 bits. Should a
prudent minimum security requirement, and thus the key exchange
moduli, have similar strengths? The answer to this depends on whether
or not one expect Moore's Law to continue unabated. If it continues,
one would expect 128 bit keys to be safe for about 60 years, and 256
bit keys would be safe for another 400 years beyond that, far beyond
any imaginable security requirement. But such progress is difficult
to predict, as it exceeds the physical capabilities of today's
devices and would imply the existence of logic technologies that are
unknown or infeasible today. Quantum computing is a candidate, but
too little is known today to make confident predictions about its
applicability to cryptography (which itself might change over the
next 100 years!).
If Moore's Law does not continue to hold, if no new computational
paradigms emerge, then keys of over 100 bits in length might well be
safe "forever". Note, however that others have come up with
estimates based on assumptions of new computational paradigms
emerging. For example, Lenstra and Verheul's webbased paper
"Selecting Cryptographic Key Sizes" chooses a more conservative
analysis than the one in this document.
4.5. Hash functions for deriving symmetric keys from public key
algorithms
The DiffieHellman algorithm results in a key that is hundreds or
thousands of bits long, but ciphers need far fewer bits than that.
How can one distill a long key down to a short one without losing
strength?
Cryptographic oneway hash functions are the building blocks for
this, and so long as they use all of the DiffieHellman key to derive
each block of the symmetric key, they produce keys with sufficient
strength.
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The usual recommendation is to use a good oneway hash function
applied to he base material (the result of the key exchange) and to
use a subset of the hash function output for the key. However, if
the desired key length is greater than the output of the hash
function, one might wonder how to reconcile the two.
The step of deriving extra key bits must satisfy these requirements:
 The bits must not reveal any information about the key exchange
secret
 The bits must not be correlated with each other
 The bits must depend on all the bits of the key exchange secret
Any good cryptographic hash function satisfies these three
requirements. Note that the number of bits of output of the hash
function is not specified. That is because even a hash function with
a very short output can be iterated to produce more uncorrelated bits
with just a little bit of care.
For example, SHA1 has 160 bits of output. For deriving a key of
attack resistance of 160 bits or less, SHA(DHkey) produces a good
symmetric key.
Suppose one wants a key with attack resistance of 160 bits, but it is
to be used with a cipher that uses 192 bit keys. One can iterate
SHA1 as follows:
Bits 1160 of the symmetric key = K1 = SHA(DHkey  0x00)
(that is, concatenate a single octet of value 0x00 to
the right side of the DHkey, and then hash)
Bits 161192 of the symmetric key = K2 =
select_32_bits(SHA(K1  0x01))
But what if one wants 192 bits of strength for the cipher? Then the
appropriate calculation is
Bits 1160 of the symmetric key = SHA(0x00  DHkey)
Bits 161192 of the symmetric key =
select_32_bits(SHA(0x01  DHkey))
(Note that in the description above, instead of concatenating a full
octet, concatenating a single bit would also be sufficient.)
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The important distinction is that in the second case, the DH key is
used for each part of the symmetric key. This assures that entropy
of the DH key is not lost by iteration of the hash function over the
same bits.
From an efficiency point of view, if the symmetric key must have a
great deal of entropy, it is probably best to use a cryptographic
hash function with a large output block (192 bits or more), rather
than iterating a smaller one.
Newer hash algorithms with longer output (such as SHA256, SHA384,
and SHA512) can be used with the same level of security as the
stretching algorithm described above.
4.6. Importance of randomness
Some of the calculations described in this document require random
inputs; for example, the secret DiffieHellman exponents must be
chosen based on n truly random bits (where n is the system security
requirement). The number of truly random bits is extremely important
to determining the strength of the output of the calculations. Using
truly random numbers is often overlooked, and many security
applications have been significantly weakened by using insufficient
random inputs. A much more complete description of the importance of
random numbers can be found in [ECS].
5. Conclusion
In this table it is assumed that attackers use general purpose
computers, that the hardware is purchased in the year 2000, and that
mathematical knowledge relevant to the problem remains the same as
today. This is an pure "applestoapples" comparison demonstrating
how the time for a key exchange scales with respect to the strength
requirement. The subgroup size for DSA is included, if that is being
used for supporting authentication as part of the protocol; the DSA
modulus must be as long as the DH modulus, but the size of the "q"
subgroup is also relevant.
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+++++
 System    
 requirement  Symmetric  RSA or DH  DSA subgroup 
 for attack  key size  modulus size  size 
 resistance  (bits)  (bits)  (bits) 
 (bits)    
+++++
 70  70  947  129 
 80  80  1228  148 
 90  90  1553  167 
 100  100  1926  186 
 150  150  4575  284 
 200  200  8719  383 
 250  250  14596  482 
+++++
5.1. TWIRL Correction
If the TWIRL machine becomes a reality, and if there are advances in
parallelism for row reduction in factoring, then conservative
estimates would subtract about 11 bits from the system security
column of the table. Thus, in order to get 89 bits of security, one
would need an RSA modulus of about 1900 bits.
6. Security Considerations
The equations and values given in this document are meant to be as
accurate as possible, based on the state of the art in general
purpose computers at the time that this document is being written.
No predictions can be completely accurate, and the formulas given
here are not meant to be definitive statements of fact about
cryptographic strengths. For example, some of the empirical results
used in calibrating the formulas in this document are probably not
completely accurate, and this inaccuracy affects the estimates. It
is the authors' hope that the numbers presented here vary from real
world experience as little as possible.
7. References
7.1. Informational References
[DL] Dodson, B. and A. K. Lenstra, NFS with four large primes:
an explosive experiment, Proceedings Crypto 95, Lecture
Notes in Comput. Sci. 963, (1995) 372385.
[ECS] Eastlake, D., Crocker, S. and J. Schiller, "Randomness
Recommendations for Security", RFC 1750, December 1994.
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RFC 3766 Determining Strengths for Public Keys April 2004
[GIL98] Cracking DES: Secrets of Encryption Research, Wiretap
Politics & Chip Design , Electronic Frontier Foundation,
John Gilmore (Ed.), 272 pages, May 1998, O'Reilly &
Associates; ISBN: 1565925203
[GOR93] Gordon, D., "Discrete logarithms in GF(p) using the
number field sieve", SIAM Journal on Discrete
Mathematics, 6 (1993), 124138.
[LEN93] Lenstra, A. K. and H. W. Lenstra, Jr. (eds), The
development of the number field sieve, Lecture Notes in
Math, 1554, Springer Verlag, Berlin, 1993.
[MH81] Merkle, R.C., and Hellman, M., "On the Security of
Multiple Encryption", Communications of the ACM, v. 24 n.
7, 1981, pp. 465467.
[ODL95] RSA Labs Cryptobytes, Volume 1, No. 2  Summer 1995; The
Future of Integer Factorization, A. M. Odlyzko
[ODL99] A. M. Odlyzko, Discrete logarithms: The past and the
future, Designs, Codes, and Cryptography (1999).
[POL78] J. Pollard, "Monte Carlo methods for index computation
mod p", Mathematics of Computation, 32 (1978), 918924.
[RFC2409] Harkins, D. and D. Carrel, "The Internet Key Exchange
(IKE)", RFC 2409, November 1998.
[SCH95] R. Schroeppel, et al., Fast Key Exchange With Elliptic
Curve Systems, In Don Coppersmith, editor, Advances in
Cryptology  CRYPTO 31 August 1995. SpringerVerlag
[SHAMIR03] Shamir, Adi and Eran Tromer, "Factoring Large Numbers
with the TWIRL Device", Advances in Cryptology  CRYPTO
2003, Springer, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2729.
[SIL00] R. D. Silverman, RSA Laboratories Bulletin, Number 13 
April 2000, A CostBased Security Analysis of Symmetric
and Asymmetric Key Lengths
[SILIEEE99] R. D. Silverman, "The Mythical MIPS Year", IEEE Computer,
August 1999.
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8. Authors' Addresses
Hilarie Orman
Purple Streak Development
500 S. Maple Dr.
Salem, UT 84653
EMail: hilarie@purplestreak.com and ho@alum.mit.edu
Paul Hoffman
VPN Consortium
127 Segre Place
Santa Cruz, CA 95060 USA
EMail: paul.hoffman@vpnc.org
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RFC 3766 Determining Strengths for Public Keys April 2004
9. Full Copyright Statement
Copyright (C) The Internet Society (2004). This document is subject
to the rights, licenses and restrictions contained in BCP 78, and
except as set forth therein, the authors retain all their rights.
This document and the information contained herein are provided on an
"AS IS" basis and THE CONTRIBUTOR, THE ORGANIZATION HE/SHE
REPRESENTS OR IS SPONSORED BY (IF ANY), THE INTERNET SOCIETY AND THE
INTERNET ENGINEERING TASK FORCE DISCLAIM ALL WARRANTIES, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ANY WARRANTY THAT THE USE OF
THE INFORMATION HEREIN WILL NOT INFRINGE ANY RIGHTS OR ANY IMPLIED
WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.
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Copies of IPR disclosures made to the IETF Secretariat and any
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at http://www.ietf.org/ipr.
The IETF invites any interested party to bring to its attention
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to implement this standard. Please address the information to the
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Acknowledgement
Funding for the RFC Editor function is currently provided by the
Internet Society.
Orman & Hoffman Best Current Practice [Page 23]



